1 Calculated using moneychimp.com Compound Interest Calculator, accessed December 2023
2 Bank of America Chief Investment Office; calculations based on an analysis of Society of Actuaries individual mortality tables
3 LongTermCare.gov, “How Much Care Will You Need?,” February 2020, accessed December 2023
*Source: Chief Investment Office. This chart represents the evolution of initial wealth of $500,000 invested in a moderate risk asset allocation and with various spending rates at the 10th percentile (90th confidence level). Asset allocation assumed is Equities: 58% to U.S. stocks (proxied by the S&P 500 Index), 41% to U.S. bonds (ICE BofA U.S. Broad Market) and 1% to cash (ICE BofA U.S. Treasury Bills 3 months). We are assuming annual rebalancing. The 25 year horizon refers to the asset class assumptions. This is a technical modeling detail. We have simulated 20,000 market scenarios. The increase in 32 years can happen because the analysis is based on simulation (random returns) and the draw in that year could be a positive return. The spending rate is a rate which applies to initial wealth and subsequently spending grows each year by inflation. 2.8% represents our long-term (25-year holding period) estimate of inflation. These hypothetical results are for illustrative purposes only and are not meant to represent the past or future performance of any specific investment vehicle. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate and, when redeemed, the investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Life expectancy assumption source: IRS single life expectancy table + 10 years (Table I in Appendix B in Publication 590-B at irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p590b.pdf). Time horizon is measured in years.
**Assumes that a 65-year-old female spends 3.5% of her wealth the first year of retirement and increases this spending in line with inflation in subsequent years (based on CIO inflation assumption of 2.8%). These withdrawals are taken at the end of each year, at which time the portfolio is rebalanced. Planning horizon assumptions 30 years. Time horizon is measured in years. Risk and expected returns assumptions for stocks, bonds and cash are as given in Table 1. These hypothetical results are for illustrative purposes only and are not meant to represent the past or future performance of any specific investment vehicle. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate, and, when redeemed, the investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Source: Analysis by the Chief Investment Office, May 2023.
Important Disclosures
Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
This information should not be construed as investment advice and is subject to change. It is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to be either a specific offer by Bank of America, Merrill or any affiliate to sell or provide, or a specific invitation for a consumer to apply for, any particular retail financial product or service that may be available.
The Chief Investment Office (CIO) provides thought leadership on wealth management, investment strategy and global markets; portfolio management solutions; due diligence; and solutions oversight and data analytics. CIO viewpoints are developed for Bank of America Private Bank, a division of Bank of America, N.A., (“Bank of America”) and Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated (“MLPF&S” or “Merrill”), a registered broker-dealer, registered investment adviser and a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corporation (“BofA Corp.”).
Investments have varying degrees of risk. Some of the risks involved with equity securities include the possibility that the value of the stocks may fluctuate in response to events specific to the companies or markets, as well as economic, political or social events in the U.S. or abroad. Bonds are subject to interest rate, inflation and credit risks. Treasury bills are less volatile than longer-term fixed income securities and are guaranteed as to timely payment of principal and interest by the U.S. government. Investments in foreign securities (including ADRs) involve special risks, including foreign currency risk and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. These risks are magnified for investments made in emerging markets. Investments in a certain industry or sector may pose additional risk due to lack of diversification and sector concentration. Investments in real estate securities can be subject to fluctuations in the value of the underlying properties, the effect of economic conditions on real estate values, changes in interest rates, and risk related to renting properties, such as rental defaults. There are special risks associated with an investment in commodities, including market price fluctuations, regulatory changes, interest rate changes, credit risk, economic changes and the impact of adverse political or financial factors.
This material does not take into account a client’s particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs and is not intended as a recommendation, offer, or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or investment strategy. Merrill offers a broad range of brokerage, investment advisory (including planning) and other services. There are important differences between brokerage and investment advisory services, including the type of advice and assistance provided, the fees charged, and the rights and obligations of the parties. It is important to understand the differences, particularly when determining which service or services to select. For more information about these services and their differences, speak with your Merrill financial advisor.